Last week, I tried an all-shows-in-one approach which also included shows already renewed and canceled. I got a lot of good feedback (thanks!)  in real-time and implemented some of it to improve readability.

This week you’ll notice more differences between the designations in the  Renew/Cancel Index.  For the most part, Bill is not prognosticating about what will happen in May, but rather what would happen by May if the season ended now.

I am taking more of a prognosticate now about what will happen in May approach. So at least for now you will see several shows that the R/C indices list as “likely” that will still be on the bubble in the Bubble Watch.   Most of the differences at this point have to do with little data for the R/C Index after resetting for the second half of the season. I’d guess in another month they’ll be 98% identical.

Only a couple of changes to the the table this week.  One is that I’ve downgraded Perfect Couples to likely to be canceled.  There’s only a couple of weeks of data, but it’s NBC’s weakest link in its Thursday night comedy lineup.  I’ve also downgraded The Cape to likely to be canceled. It keeps falling and even if manages to stabilize at last Monday’s level (a 1.6 adults 18-49 rating), it’s still likely to be canceled.  Its ratings need to go up a bit to get back on the bubble.

The first two weeks of Friday Fringe should make fans happy, but for now, it’s still on the bubble.

Edit: Forgot to mention that I changed Lie To Me from ‘certain to be canceled’ back to ‘likely to be canceled’ after the ratings gods mocked me.

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